Undermining trust in allies through predictions of Ukraine’s “betrayal”

What it claims

US-Russia talks and debates in Europe are presented as a prearranged “betrayal” of Ukraine in which Kyiv has supposedly been denied a voice. Expert remarks and media reports are inflated into proof that the entire West is changing course. Protests in European countries are portrayed not as domestic disputes but as leverage to force Europe into concessions.

Target audience

Examples (paraphrased)

We paraphrase rather than quote: propaganda's exact wording is built to spread, so we carry the claim and not the craft. Each example cites the post it came from.

• The United States and Russia will divide spheres of influence without regard for Ukraine, leaving Kyiv to accept peace on others’ terms.

  Евгений Мураев, 18 Oct 2026 · Archived copy

• European protests and statements about a lack of resources are preparing societies to abandon support for Ukraine and make concessions to Russia.

  Евгений Мураев, 18 Oct 2026 · Archived copy

We link archived copies rather than the posts themselves, so that checking our work sends no traffic to the source. Where a platform cannot be archived, we print the post's address instead of linking it.

Goal

To persuade Ukrainian civilians that allies will decide Ukraine’s future without Ukraine and that Western support will inevitably end in concessions to Russia.

Techniques used

• Causal OversimplificationTalks between the United States and Russia are presented as automatic proof that Ukraine’s interests will be ignored.
• Appeal to AuthorityA military expert’s comment in a German media outlet is used to validate an allegedly inevitable European withdrawal of support for Ukraine.

The real grievance it exploits

Uncertainty about international support, negotiations and security guarantees is painful for people whose lives depend on the course of the war and partners’ decisions.

How to counter

• Technique exposure: A prediction of “betrayal” is not evidence of an agreement. Check whether the author distinguishes a specific statement or debate from the assertion that decisions have already been made for Ukraine.
• Prebunk: Negotiations, disagreements among allies and expert assessments may show differing positions, but they do not by themselves prove a policy shift. Look for a specific decision, its terms and who is responsible for it.

Sources (all time)

• Украина. Спецоперация. Мониторинг СВОTier 115,774 subscribers
  4 posts · 25 Oct 2026

  • 25 Oct · t.me/MonitoringUA/96171
  • 25 Oct · t.me/MonitoringUA/96165
  • 25 Oct · t.me/MonitoringUA/96164
  • 25 Oct · t.me/MonitoringUA/96161
• Open Ukraine| Открытая УкраинаTier 1179,644 subscribers
  2 posts · 25–29 Oct 2026

  • 29 Oct · t.me/OpenUkraine/104302
  • 25 Oct · t.me/OpenUkraine/104126
• ЗеРадаTier 1423,506 subscribers
  2 posts · 27 Oct 2026

  • 27 Oct · t.me/ZeRada1/32794
  • 27 Oct · t.me/ZeRada1/32789
• Евгений МураевTier 189,414 subscribers
  4 posts · 15–22 Oct 2026

  • 22 Oct · t.me/murayevUA/1355
  • 18 Oct · Archived copy
  • 18 Oct · Archived copy
  • 15 Oct · t.me/murayevUA/1339