Predicting demographic collapse and the “death” of Ukraine as a state

What it claims

Ukraine is portrayed as a territory with no future, where mortality supposedly exceeds the birth rate fourfold and the population is fleeing permanently. This manipulation targets Israeli immigrants from the former USSR to convince them that supporting Kyiv is futile and that Ukrainian statehood is inevitably vanishing.

Target audience

Examples (paraphrased)

We paraphrase rather than quote: propaganda's exact wording is built to spread, so we carry the claim and not the craft. Each example cites the post it came from.

• Ukraine is turning into a deserted wasteland where there are four deaths for every newborn, and in frontline zones, this ratio reaches one to fourteen.

  Rybar, 23 Jul 2026

  t.me/rybar/81930

• Western sponsors will soon stop supporting Kyiv because no one needs a territory that only consumes subsidies and lacks the human resources to exist.

  Rybar, 23 Jul 2026

  t.me/rybar/81930

We link archived copies rather than the posts themselves, so that checking our work sends no traffic to the source. Where a platform cannot be archived, we print the post's address instead of linking it.

Goal

To undermine the solidarity of Israeli immigrants with Ukraine by instilling the idea that aiding a “bankrupt state” only prolongs an inevitable end.

Techniques used

• Appeal to Fear / PrejudiceUse of terms like “collapse,” “catastrophic indicators,” and “Wild Fields” to describe the demographic situation.
• Loaded LanguageUse of derogatory labels like “so-called Ukraine” and “someone else's hole without people.”

The real grievance it exploits

The manipulation exploits the anxiety of Israeli natives of Ukraine regarding the fate of their relatives and home cities, as well as a general fear of instability in the regions of the former USSR.

How to counter

• Reframe: Russian outlets try to pass off the consequences of their own aggression — strikes on energy and cities — as the “natural death” of the Ukrainian state to absolve themselves of responsibility for the humanitarian crisis.

Sources (all time)

• RybarTier 31,560,297 subscribers
  1 post · 23 Jul 2026

  • 23 Jul · t.me/rybar/81930