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Predicting the President’s “political death” by claiming a loss of control over domestic protests

StableVery high

7 channels · 27 posts · 4.1M reach

What it claims

Ukraine’s political leadership is portrayed as helpless in the face of domestic protests that supposedly threaten the very existence of the government. To amplify this, claims are spread about the authorities preparing dirty provocations and paid smear campaigns against activists.

Target audience

Examples (paraphrased)

We paraphrase rather than quote: propaganda's exact wording is built to spread, so we carry the claim and not the craft. Each example cites the post it came from.

  • Zelensky is losing the battle against activists as protests demanding Fedorov's return to the Ministry of Defense grow larger.

    Легитимный, 31 Jul 2026

    t.me/legitimniy/22935

  • The Office of the President is preparing a provocation by creating fake ads to hire extras for rallies to make the protest look paid for.

    Легитимный, 4 Aug 2026

    t.me/legitimniy/22972

We link archived copies rather than the posts themselves, so that checking our work sends no traffic to the source. Where a platform cannot be archived, we print the post's address instead of linking it.

Goal

To provoke an internal split in Ukrainian society and undermine trust in state institutions during wartime.

Techniques used

The real grievance it exploits

It exploits natural public anxiety regarding political stability and fatigue from the prolonged state of martial law.

How to counter

  • Technique exposure: Anonymous Telegram channels often use the tactic of “predicting provocations” to preemptively label any future criticism of protests as fake.
  • Reframe: The existence of public discussions and rallies in a democratic country is a sign of a vibrant civil society, not evidence of a state collapse.

Sources (all time)

  • ЛегитимныйTier 11,047,049 subscribers
    7 posts · 31 Jul – 11 Aug 2026
    • 11 Aug · t.me/legitimniy/23017
    • 10 Aug · t.me/legitimniy/23010
    • 4 Aug · t.me/legitimniy/22972
    • 3 Aug · t.me/legitimniy/22961
    • 2 Aug · t.me/legitimniy/22954
    • 2 Aug · t.me/legitimniy/22952
    • 31 Jul · t.me/legitimniy/22935
  • MediaKillerTier 1105,212 subscribers
    4 posts · 26 Jul – 5 Aug 2026
    • 5 Aug · t.me/MediaKiller2021/24031
    • 5 Aug · t.me/MediaKiller2021/24025
    • 28 Jul · t.me/MediaKiller2021/23903
    • 26 Jul · t.me/MediaKiller2021/23869
  • Анатолий ШарийTier 11,656,035 subscribers
    1 post · 10 Aug 2026
    • 10 Aug · t.me/ASupersharij/58468
  • РезидентTier 1882,020 subscribers
    5 posts · 6–10 Aug 2026
    • 10 Aug · t.me/rezident_ua/30179
    • 8 Aug · t.me/rezident_ua/30167
    • 6 Aug · t.me/rezident_ua/30161
    • 6 Aug · Archived copy
    • 6 Aug · t.me/rezident_ua/30156
  • Политика СтраныTier 1331,128 subscribers
    3 posts · 6 Aug 2026
    • 6 Aug · t.me/stranaua/244211
    • 6 Aug · t.me/stranaua/244210
    • 6 Aug · t.me/stranaua/244209
  • Женщина с косойTier 1109,695 subscribers
    4 posts · 31 Jul – 8 Aug 2026
    • 8 Aug · t.me/skosoi/10008
    • 3 Aug · t.me/skosoi/9982
    • 1 Aug · t.me/skosoi/9949
    • 31 Jul · t.me/skosoi/9941
  • Украина. Спецоперация. Мониторинг СВОTier 115,825 subscribers
    3 posts · 7 Aug 2026
    • 7 Aug · t.me/MonitoringUA/94175
    • 7 Aug · t.me/MonitoringUA/94170
    • 7 Aug · t.me/MonitoringUA/94167

Report as of 11 Aug 2026 · AI-generated analysis